NFL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a0fb5988bee5caefea21c6bc84c8d30f742ae6fbccdc4034e3bb9141ee9c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,299,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,953,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,299,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 231,294$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.93 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 1c | 220,347$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.58 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 133,580$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.78 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 2c | 122,085$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.22 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 2c | 103,803$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.48 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Yes | 1c | 93,381$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.62 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 93,239$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.08 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 92,979$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.63 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 71,815$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.02 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 69,015$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.64 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 1c | 62,173$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.37 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…c652backed Yes | 2c | 60,029$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 55,765$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.77 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 54,605$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.29 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Yes | 1c | 54,089$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 2c | 52,046$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes | 3c | 50,594$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 50,298$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.55 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 2c | 48,198$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.85 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 47,568$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ece6backed Yes | 5c | 47,125$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes | 2c | 46,905$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 2c | 45,886$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.33 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Yes | 2c | 45,821$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.42 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 2c | 43,692$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.64 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 1c | 38,878$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 38,623$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.13 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 35,797$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 2c | 34,685$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 1c | 34,314$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 33,636$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…df3abacked Yes | 2c | 32,998$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 2c | 31,633$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.49 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…b0edbacked Yes | 2c | 31,314$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 1c | 29,869$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 29,866$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 29,703$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 29,564$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 2c | 29,369$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…68a0backed Yes | 2c | 28,369$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 2c | 27,998$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,895$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 26,328$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.76 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 2c | 25,763$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.81 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…41d1backed Yes | 2c | 25,444$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 2c | 23,905$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 1c | 23,078$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 1c | 22,967$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 22,799$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.9 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Yes | 2c | 22,633$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 2c | 22,615$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.84 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…7c12backed Yes | 2c | 22,233$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 2c | 22,117$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Yes | 2c | 20,560$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…92debacked Yes | 0c | 20,248$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,215$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…a6dabacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…c30dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,240$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 18,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.39 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 3c | 18,553$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.77 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 2c | 18,255$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 16,208$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 15,865$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 2c | 15,852$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…c22abacked Yes | 0c | 15,743$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…6d42backed Yes | 2c | 15,409$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…5259backed Yes | 2c | 14,336$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…7750backed Yes | 1c | 14,244$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes | 2c | 13,651$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…ad8dbacked Yes | 2c | 13,436$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 1c | 13,249$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes | 0c | 13,247$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 2c | 12,766$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 0c | 12,706$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 2c | 12,593$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…d95bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,479$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…7990backed Yes | 0c | 12,452$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…0d30backed Yes | 2c | 12,147$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,977$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,448$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…4e22backed Yes | 3c | 11,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes | 0c | 11,133$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d3…891ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 1c | 11,041$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 10,946$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,641$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…ca71backed Yes | 1c | 10,532$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Yes | 1c | 10,511$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…841cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 2c | 10,267$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.