NFL · resolved market

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29635b9089e6c26fdb8ac7eb57bfe2ce1e97ebea54ed4b950ba1524e3cc31c8c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,603,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,024,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 932 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x67f9…d241backed Yes	2c	290,312$6,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,705.24	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	3c	288,765$9,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,872.01	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	5c	249,762$13,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,252.71	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	4c	205,000$8,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,875.2	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6c…3515backed Yes	3c	177,505$6,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,196.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	170,483$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,249.85	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	4c	169,604$6,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,731.51	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	4c	112,981$4,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,157.76	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	5c	110,221$5,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,175.04	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bf…c877backed Yes	4c	102,150$3,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,901	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	9c	98,154$8,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,721.07	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…a403backed Yes	4c	93,128$3,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,930.08	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	5c	89,406$4,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.9	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	4c	82,885$3,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,220.23	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes	4c	75,487$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.61	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…6aafbacked Yes	13c	74,987$9,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,995.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	74,038$3,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,846.64	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…b94ebacked Yes	2c	66,554$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e81…2e25backed Yes	5c	52,244$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,625	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	2c	51,626$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	5c	50,733$2,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,387.42	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	3c	50,547$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.87	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Yes	13c	43,863$5,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,572.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	2c	43,672$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.18	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6d…644bbacked Yes	7c	42,018$3,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	3c	37,571$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.87	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Yes	8c	36,824$2,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,896.53	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	3c	35,374$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.05	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	3c	34,892$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.64	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	34,688$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.26	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes	6c	33,650$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,146.28	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes	4c	33,631$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.06	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	32,744$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800.22	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Yes	11c	32,000$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,520	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes	6c	31,540$1,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.39	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes	3c	31,459$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.9	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd56d…de17backed Yes	4c	31,136$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x069f…1f7fbacked Yes	3c	30,591$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	4c	30,485$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.56	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Yes	4c	28,384$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.32	81	28.4%23 W · 58 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb120…cf85backed Yes	5c	28,337$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e6…eebabacked Yes	5c	28,177$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da5…36eabacked Yes	7c	28,107$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	2c	26,799$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.68	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	26,257$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.32	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Yes	5c	26,148$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	2c	24,296$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.62	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	3c	23,974$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.32	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd998…fad9backed Yes	2c	23,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.42	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x065c…7891backed Yes	4c	22,596$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545e…432cbacked Yes	10c	22,580$2,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,165.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Yes	4c	22,568$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+246.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes	5c	22,295$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	2c	21,578$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.69	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	2c	21,402$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.64	73	4.1%3 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	4c	21,089$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.57	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…4e29backed Yes	11c	20,930$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.33	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes	5c	20,511$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aea…518fbacked Yes	5c	20,071$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.76	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+601.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	4c	20,000$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.93	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	3c	20,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	10c	19,761$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.76	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	5c	19,718$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.43	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	3c	19,031$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.38	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes	10c	19,000$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.46	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa414…aa64backed Yes	4c	16,458$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes	4c	16,080$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.36	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	5c	16,036$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.62	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes	5c	15,748$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.6	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	3c	14,987$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.11	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes	10c	14,504$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.69	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Yes	6c	14,332$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	144	52.8%76 W · 68 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes	7c	14,039$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.11	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	4c	13,900$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.4	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.4wins	+0.34per pick	43cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes	4c	13,889$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes	4c	13,345$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Yes	8c	12,989$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Yes	2c	12,774$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	4c	12,627$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.38	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	11c	12,523$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd187…399cbacked Yes	5c	12,329$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed Yes	5c	12,207$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes	4c	12,163$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	2c	12,144$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.52	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	4c	11,986$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.69	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	11,527$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.12	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Yes	5c	11,519$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.89	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+26%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	9c	11,500$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes	3c	11,490$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.69	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52fd…a8fdbacked Yes	5c	11,268$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	4c	11,193$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.83	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a1…4b9abacked Yes	5c	11,122$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	10,897$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.49	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Yes	4c	10,890$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec0…cdf6backed Yes	5c	10,664$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…750bbacked Yes	2c	10,531$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.39	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c00…f130backed Yes	5c	10,396$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	4c	10,300$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.74	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6e…6302backed Yes	2c	10,277$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event