NFL · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd407fc7bc044a509b1eb3059d8a85af5493425d9edb677781dcc7a98c1554adb

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,519,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,795,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,519,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 876 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	9c	96,778$8,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,709.98	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	11c	96,370$10,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600.68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	10c	70,420$6,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,736.74	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	9c	70,176$6,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,053.54	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	10c	65,956$6,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,591.81	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes	10c	60,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	8c	54,762$4,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,194.86	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc292…92d8backed Yes	10c	54,058$5,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,619.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…57e4backed Yes	10c	52,130$4,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,966.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	12c	52,056$6,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,263.97	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	9c	51,214$4,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,785.29	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	8c	49,125$4,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,175.02	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	9c	45,476$4,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,181.07	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes	10c	42,648$4,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,071.31	166	45.8%76 W · 90 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes	13c	40,289$5,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,071.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Yes	13c	38,729$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	10c	38,530$3,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,764.45	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+74%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes	12c	35,789$4,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,437.41	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	9c	34,926$3,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,140.75	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes	8c	33,829$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,569.57	147	57.1%84 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	11c	31,103$3,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,466.62	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yes	9c	30,891$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,780.2	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	10c	30,339$3,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,057.57	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	11c	30,000$3,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,316.61	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c56…68b2backed Yes	9c	28,800$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	11c	28,592$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.17	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…911dbacked Yes	12c	25,044$2,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,918.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes	9c	24,889$2,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,182.06	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Yes	10c	24,056$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b47…099ebacked Yes	9c	22,222$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed Yes	10c	20,557$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.73	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a0…6feebacked Yes	9c	19,835$1,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,763.07	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	8c	18,794$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.62	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Yes	11c	18,367$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	12c	18,301$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140.15	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes	7c	18,277$1,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,357.54	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70e…fb44backed Yes	11c	17,453$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	9c	16,996$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.7	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes	9c	16,875$1,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.79	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	11c	16,122$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.97	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69a8…aba9backed Yes	12c	14,400$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Yes	14c	14,286$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+246.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bed…6497backed Yes	12c	13,921$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	9c	13,808$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.28	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes	9c	13,540$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.99	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	11c	11,993$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.45	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+175.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	9c	11,749$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.13	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	15c	11,370$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.52	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes	10c	11,241$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134	117	44.4%52 W · 65 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Yes	9c	11,111$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe23…b587backed Yes	9c	11,111$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c3…bd0ebacked Yes	9c	11,110$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Yes	8c	10,834$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.68	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes	14c	10,722$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.04	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	8c	10,642$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.71	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes	9c	10,579$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.12	25	44%11 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	12c	10,435$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.55	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…0a1dbacked Yes	10c	10,215$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…466fbacked Yes	11c	10,001$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.16	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee2…4acbbacked Yes	15c	10,001$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.8	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…104bbacked Yes	10c	9,995$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes	12c	9,352$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.06	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Yes	12c	9,162$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x737e…bee0backed Yes	11c	9,091$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	9c	9,089$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.18	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	10c	9,058$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.29	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	10c	8,911$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.08	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	12c	8,769$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.3	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	10c	8,720$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.89	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes	11c	8,712$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes	12c	8,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes	9c	8,252$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.7	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	15c	8,128$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.2	163	44.8%73 W · 90 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	10c	8,086$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.67	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes	15c	8,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	+31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes	9c	7,855$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.99	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48e…a144backed Yes	8c	7,373$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.86	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f11…5a95backed Yes	14c	7,354$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	8c	7,131$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.17	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Yes	9c	6,667$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	9c	6,500$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	13c	6,401$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.92	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c83…0f55backed Yes	10c	6,185$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.91	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes	9c	6,176$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.88	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed Yes	10c	6,098$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.22	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	9c	6,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Yes	9c	5,728$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.55	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2c…41f3backed Yes	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.04	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes	9c	5,555$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.95	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee54…8189backed Yes	10c	5,534$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.78	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa536…256dbacked Yes	9c	5,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes	8c	5,500$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes	9c	5,410$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	9c	5,350$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.37	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ad9…62bcbacked Yes	6c	5,192$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes	13c	5,077$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa049…0558backed Yes	9c	5,025$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.28per pick	27cpaid	+171%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Yes	11c	5,000$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.31	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event