NFL · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b57ed983eb34b5e081fc8dcc1372d688963fd4d9c9018b8d2ba36867b26b236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,230,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,175,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,230,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Yes | 30c | 677,099$200,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,104.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 28c | 315,454$89,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,655.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 170,492$26,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,948.08 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 10c | 138,880$13,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,877.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 7c | 138,457$9,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,337.67 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Yes | 21c | 129,559$26,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,990.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 22c | 114,491$25,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,196.77 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 20c | 113,193$22,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,121.84 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 18c | 109,372$19,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,381.04 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…4f22backed Yes | 25c | 78,234$19,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 7c | 76,328$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.63 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 27c | 75,790$20,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,539.19 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 15c | 75,708$11,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,068.11 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 72,922$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.63 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 5c | 68,643$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.74 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 9c | 66,117$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.35 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 7c | 62,598$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 14c | 61,986$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 18c | 60,460$10,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,770.16 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 11c | 59,321$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.71 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 18c | 56,184$10,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.96 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 18c | 55,458$9,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Yes | 18c | 50,000$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 12c | 48,346$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.19 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 6c | 48,343$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 10c | 46,815$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.14 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 7c | 45,501$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.25 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 22c | 44,040$9,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,785.31 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 21c | 43,557$9,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150.5 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 16c | 43,336$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.84 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 24c | 42,734$10,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 17c | 41,113$7,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.63 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 18c | 41,104$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.72 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 37,120$7,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,587.74 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 10c | 36,049$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.48 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 17c | 35,797$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…fad9backed Yes | 18c | 34,781$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 33,850$9,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,324.3 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 11c | 31,400$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.74 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 16c | 30,440$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.9 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 10c | 30,000$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 29,114$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.96 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…bab3backed Yes | 13c | 28,848$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 28,467$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.28 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes | 11c | 28,266$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.18 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…8a01backed Yes | 22c | 28,168$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 28c | 28,152$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 11c | 27,442$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.14 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 15c | 25,071$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 8c | 24,869$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.59 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 13c | 23,853$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.89 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Yes | 17c | 23,403$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 16c | 23,056$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.69 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 18c | 21,325$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 11c | 21,274$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.86 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Yes | 27c | 20,804$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 20,694$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 73c | 20,661$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Yes | 15c | 19,993$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 4c | 19,317$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.79 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 9c | 19,304$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 24c | 19,292$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 20c | 18,970$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.26 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Yes | 17c | 18,821$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Yes | 29c | 18,404$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 28c | 18,000$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 4c | 17,953$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.43 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 20c | 17,310$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.35 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 75c | 17,169$12,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 21c | 17,093$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.56 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 4c | 16,377$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.07 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 16c | 16,159$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.7 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 9c | 15,083$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.2 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.8 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 14,810$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.64 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…f7efbacked Yes | 0c | 14,764$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 5c | 14,070$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.82 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 14c | 14,000$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…e26abacked Yes | 16c | 13,950$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 16c | 13,910$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…272abacked Yes | 21c | 13,605$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 3c | 13,436$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…4841backed Yes | 17c | 13,280$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 18c | 13,115$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.34 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 17c | 13,026$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…ae4bbacked Yes | 21c | 13,000$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 19c | 12,657$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.46 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…0f45backed Yes | 20c | 12,559$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 12,064$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.45 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes | 3c | 11,903$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes | 6c | 11,788$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 22c | 11,324$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.26 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 70c | 11,242$7,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…d2ccbacked Yes | 14c | 11,064$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…7664backed Yes | 16c | 11,034$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 18c | 11,000$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…93c6backed Yes | 17c | 10,928$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…9546backed Yes | 17c | 10,872$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 5c | 10,683$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…de1fbacked Yes | 27c | 10,441$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.