NFL · resolved market
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28f9dfab98d6b2a8a22d8ff7e8d109678fc8275710be17c96825301efce4a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,242,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,732,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,242,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 4,321,647$12,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 3,131,498$17,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,052.06 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,647,867$13,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.18 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 2,395,523$17,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,854.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,409,314$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,955.88 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 0c | 794,032$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 596,405$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.63 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…74f7backed Yes | 1c | 523,105$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 395,658$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.48 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 244,018$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.15 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 231,000$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 180,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Yes | 1c | 170,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 129,561$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.86 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…d37cbacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 122,286$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.42 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…c981backed Yes | 1c | 113,800$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 113,497$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.56 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…4cd3backed Yes | 1c | 106,137$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 102,000$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 84,492$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.12 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a15…8019backed Yes | 1c | 75,933$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 73,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…fbd0backed Yes | 1c | 71,240$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 69,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…b0d6backed Yes | 1c | 62,543$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…1bdabacked Yes | 1c | 62,300$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…040ebacked Yes | 1c | 60,070$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6e84backed Yes | 1c | 54,133$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…77cebacked Yes | 1c | 53,571$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…d2c2backed Yes | 1c | 53,536$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,282$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…4f55backed Yes | 1c | 53,083$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…8e99backed Yes | 1c | 52,067$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…e07ebacked Yes | 1c | 51,650$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…aee5backed Yes | 1c | 51,286$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…351abacked Yes | 1c | 51,083$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…f832backed Yes | 1c | 51,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…ef2abacked Yes | 1c | 50,857$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f1…7afbbacked Yes | 1c | 47,377$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…ca27backed Yes | 1c | 44,667$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…399abacked Yes | 1c | 44,283$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…d518backed Yes | 1c | 43,900$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 1c | 43,285$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.28 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…a8bdbacked Yes | 1c | 43,167$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf9…7085backed Yes | 1c | 43,044$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…ade0backed Yes | 1c | 42,983$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8176…cfdbbacked Yes | 1c | 42,852$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…a339backed Yes | 1c | 42,783$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…0a12backed Yes | 1c | 42,667$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…a4a6backed Yes | 1c | 42,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…5682backed Yes | 1c | 42,389$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…a5f3backed Yes | 1c | 42,355$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…a5e0backed Yes | 1c | 42,338$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…7f0abacked Yes | 1c | 41,938$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f0ecbacked Yes | 1c | 41,490$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f892backed Yes | 1c | 41,425$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…7558backed Yes | 1c | 41,336$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…a2e2backed Yes | 1c | 41,257$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…dc09backed Yes | 1c | 41,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…6fb4backed Yes | 1c | 40,590$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…d912backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…a285backed Yes | 1c | 39,000$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…c27fbacked Yes | 1c | 38,344$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…5234backed Yes | 1c | 38,222$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…819bbacked Yes | 1c | 38,088$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…7270backed Yes | 1c | 36,655$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…6d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 36,198$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…f1c7backed Yes | 1c | 36,031$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 1c | 35,049$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 35,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…4e1bbacked Yes | 1c | 34,883$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…8e24backed Yes | 1c | 34,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…8cd0backed Yes | 1c | 33,426$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c495backed Yes | 1c | 32,028$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…d14ebacked Yes | 1c | 31,308$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…934fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…c04fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…4841backed Yes | 1c | 28,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…6afcbacked Yes | 1c | 28,045$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…059fbacked Yes | 1c | 27,789$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc5…90f7backed Yes | 1c | 27,749$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Yes | 1c | 27,728$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…e946backed Yes | 1c | 27,560$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.