TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe959…7c7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.39
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.82
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$399.93
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$326.41
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$145.58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.77
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$468.93
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$428.27
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$214.38
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$139.87
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$162.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$132
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$110.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.69
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$107.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.