MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b899b60ecc82ee62749a0d15bd96eb316e4357133b067ac1429a53c30e6eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Athletics, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians | 51c | 449,472$227,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,973.98 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 49c | 115,000$56,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,600 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 49c | 71,498$35,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,344.72 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 49c | 70,300$34,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,447 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 49c | 62,500$30,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,850 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 50c | 50,000$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Athletics | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 46c | 14,256$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,545.65 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 11,900$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 50c | 6,217$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.89 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 50c | 5,100$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Athletics | 48c | 4,500$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 49c | 4,378$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 64c | 3,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.77 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 48c | 2,821$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.96 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 27c | 2,745$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 52c | 2,611$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.39 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Guardians | 55c | 2,412$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.4 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Athletics | 52c | 2,356$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 58c | 1,691$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.25 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,421$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Guardians | 55c | 1,421$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,260$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Guardians | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Athletics | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Athletics | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 79c | 848.24$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 55c | 741.32$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Athletics | 45c | 730.21$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.59 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 2c | 724.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 2c | 663$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Athletics | 50c | 600.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 74c | 579$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a58ebacked Athletics | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Athletics | 32c | 504.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Guardians | 49c | 497.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 75c | 448.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 49c | 447.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 45c | 444.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…dbbfbacked Guardians | 80c | 428.87$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Guardians | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Athletics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 46c | 385.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 48c | 287.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Athletics | 31c | 243.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 45c | 223.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 45c | 222.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 38c | 220$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Guardians | 53c | 205.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…5e3bbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…87efbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…94dfbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…3604backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…60acbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…f7bebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…800bbacked Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…b301backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…1c56backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…5c6bbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…5ac6backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.