MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f90ab3eaaadd019a798a56fb1a8cdf34ffbe384972c8d2781cf6d2ba19c8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Rays, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Rays | 49c | 13,043$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.02 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Reds | 51c | 10,199$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.51 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 49c | 8,365$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 43c | 8,058$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.35 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 55c | 6,320$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 49c | 6,057$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.02 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 53c | 4,637$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.29 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 49c | 4,355$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 53c | 2,980$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.2 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 51c | 2,718$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Reds | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Rays | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Rays | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Rays | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Rays | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…41f3backed Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Reds | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed Rays | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 49c | 1,454$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Reds | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Reds | 49c | 1,198$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.09 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Reds | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…437cbacked Reds | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 49c | 1,102$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.89 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Reds | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Rays | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Reds | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rays | 49c | 1,005$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.39 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…f9d5backed Rays | 50c | 982$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…2c07backed Reds | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 49c | 836.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Reds | 51c | 795.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Rays | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Rays | 35c | 664.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 49c | 591.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.89 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 2c | 495.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rays | 48c | 381.38$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 37c | 349.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 58c | 348$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 56c | 275.74$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 66c | 258$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 50c | 235$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 42c | 222.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Rays | 46c | 209.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…78b6backed Reds | 51c | 204.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…408cbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rays | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…7207backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…d63dbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…9c2fbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…4847backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…9d72backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.