AI · resolved market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41aba4c5cbe54dc8db7939be27e47860708f22e53219182a8177252ecac3f085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,637,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,316,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,637,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 344,997$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…de88backed Yes | 0c | 339,998$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 244,350$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 139,870$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…5589backed Yes | 0c | 77,372$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…b949backed Yes | 0c | 74,285$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d2…1c25backed Yes | 0c | 73,910$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…5068backed Yes | 0c | 71,963$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…ed6ebacked Yes | 0c | 71,898$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…f2b3backed Yes | 0c | 70,177$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…b831backed Yes | 0c | 70,007$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…9387backed Yes | 0c | 69,883$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…82ccbacked Yes | 0c | 69,321$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…4371backed Yes | 0c | 69,310$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…4275backed Yes | 0c | 69,075$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…566bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,682$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…9fb4backed Yes | 0c | 67,564$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…b9ffbacked Yes | 0c | 67,390$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…5a27backed Yes | 0c | 67,029$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…fc77backed Yes | 0c | 66,959$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…7a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 66,854$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…7379backed Yes | 0c | 66,617$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8202…c1a5backed Yes | 0c | 66,591$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…dd2ebacked Yes | 0c | 66,531$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…06cdbacked Yes | 0c | 66,514$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…2deebacked Yes | 0c | 66,205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…9ad1backed Yes | 0c | 66,136$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…10c3backed Yes | 0c | 66,053$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…e7a2backed Yes | 0c | 66,043$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…e8f8backed Yes | 0c | 65,953$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…680cbacked Yes | 0c | 65,936$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…f168backed Yes | 0c | 65,884$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…99e2backed Yes | 0c | 65,829$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…cd1dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,813$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…80f8backed Yes | 0c | 65,675$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…28c1backed Yes | 0c | 65,666$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…af12backed Yes | 0c | 65,558$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…20dabacked Yes | 0c | 65,540$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…7cb6backed Yes | 0c | 65,497$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f3…6724backed Yes | 0c | 65,474$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…396fbacked Yes | 0c | 65,407$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec4…d12ebacked Yes | 0c | 65,391$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…987dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,365$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…3d26backed Yes | 0c | 65,298$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…1cd7backed Yes | 0c | 65,255$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…9a20backed Yes | 0c | 65,253$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…95a4backed Yes | 0c | 65,247$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…3653backed Yes | 0c | 65,221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…b0b0backed Yes | 0c | 65,177$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…d018backed Yes | 0c | 65,128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…b641backed Yes | 0c | 65,123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…ff92backed Yes | 0c | 65,115$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…69e7backed Yes | 0c | 65,082$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…469fbacked Yes | 0c | 65,068$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…c7c5backed Yes | 0c | 65,034$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…57a9backed Yes | 0c | 65,019$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc238…1358backed Yes | 0c | 65,006$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…c1dabacked Yes | 0c | 65,005$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…93a7backed Yes | 0c | 64,975$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…6096backed Yes | 0c | 64,967$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…e3fabacked Yes | 0c | 64,958$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…787ebacked Yes | 0c | 64,917$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e1…c06abacked Yes | 0c | 64,914$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…ffc1backed Yes | 0c | 64,882$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…23edbacked Yes | 0c | 64,857$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…846bbacked Yes | 0c | 64,845$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…9216backed Yes | 0c | 64,821$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…5999backed Yes | 0c | 64,743$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…6395backed Yes | 0c | 64,710$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…b65ebacked Yes | 0c | 64,678$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…02a7backed Yes | 0c | 64,658$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…1254backed Yes | 0c | 64,558$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…02f1backed Yes | 0c | 64,549$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…88a7backed Yes | 0c | 64,529$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…e15cbacked Yes | 0c | 64,517$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…e83bbacked Yes | 0c | 64,437$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…f1c0backed Yes | 0c | 64,423$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…d886backed Yes | 0c | 64,337$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…d907backed Yes | 0c | 64,285$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…7e5dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…8e6dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…8261backed Yes | 0c | 64,055$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…891abacked Yes | 0c | 64,015$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd8…b6cfbacked Yes | 0c | 64,013$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…34b5backed Yes | 0c | 63,636$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…7884backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…631abacked Yes | 0c | 48,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…0c2ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,961$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…c8e5backed Yes | 0c | 46,714$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…61febacked Yes | 0c | 46,675$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…4949backed Yes | 0c | 46,344$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…4563backed Yes | 0c | 46,312$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e2cfbacked Yes | 0c | 46,213$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…2b43backed Yes | 0c | 46,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…914ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…7adabacked Yes | 0c | 46,169$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…132abacked Yes | 0c | 46,163$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…c52bbacked Yes | 0c | 46,112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…cd4dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,081$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1825…184fbacked Yes | 0c | 45,938$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.