AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a36fb7e5cc8fde776749fe45ff7b9a2bc3d3f9a195dac185579b47ec830ce31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,904,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,904,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 5c | 185,193$9,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,571.3 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 105,494$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.56 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 4c | 86,879$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.09 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…1779backed Yes | 4c | 68,848$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…256abacked Yes | 2c | 67,335$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 65,751$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.37 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Yes | 10c | 58,323$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…4109backed Yes | 2c | 52,828$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 1c | 51,119$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 43,691$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.86 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 1c | 43,398$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 39,872$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.34 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 4c | 35,288$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.85 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 29,498$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.72 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…13d1backed Yes | 9c | 29,250$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 27,608$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…0239backed Yes | 8c | 25,801$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 4c | 23,406$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.48 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 16,361$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.34 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf68…d971backed Yes | 4c | 13,315$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Yes | 2c | 13,080$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 1c | 11,820$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 6c | 11,146$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…8e60backed Yes | 3c | 10,712$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 4c | 10,163$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…2241backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 1c | 9,529$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…2ae9backed Yes | 6c | 8,409$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 29c | 7,768$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.02 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Yes | 6c | 7,623$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…ac08backed Yes | 3c | 7,616$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,606$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…278cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 3c | 6,504$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 15c | 6,455$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x887d…634ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,045$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…f458backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 5,769$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.73 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,541$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 33c | 5,254$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.93 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 3c | 5,109$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…a303backed Yes | 4c | 5,009$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…2a5fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,801$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,671$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,650$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 0c | 4,555$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 4,381$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ec…646dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…759cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,178$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed Yes | 3c | 4,152$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 2c | 4,028$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…d17fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,884$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 3c | 3,857$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…b681backed Yes | 5c | 3,832$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…0a8cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,751$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…a8a7backed Yes | 4c | 3,642$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked Yes | 1c | 3,546$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,499$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 3c | 3,457$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…b1a8backed Yes | 2c | 3,381$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed Yes | 4c | 3,380$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 3,355$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 5c | 3,238$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 3c | 2,952$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 2c | 2,930$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…fdb9backed Yes | 2c | 2,925$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 2c | 2,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,785$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 4c | 2,744$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…bfd7backed Yes | 5c | 2,660$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…6a56backed Yes | 4c | 2,619$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 3c | 2,611$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…9a85backed Yes | 2c | 2,599$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 1c | 2,581$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…f3f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,424$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…6d89backed Yes | 5c | 2,321$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fa8cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,313$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 1c | 2,283$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,251$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 9c | 2,193$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…0aacbacked Yes | 5c | 2,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 6c | 2,095$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…38e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…31c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…f2debacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…0159backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0415backed Yes | 2c | 1,961$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,901$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4a…adddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,803$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 28c | 1,735$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.