AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfd709e4da8810c4a9ffea43e568294b01c59982a618d5a548d730501f44e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,236,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,029,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,236,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 354,218$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.44 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 0c | 123,158$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 1c | 96,604$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 77,479$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 74,999$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 71,836$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.7 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…de88backed Yes | 0c | 62,503$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 3c | 54,673$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.81 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 0c | 51,533$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 0c | 47,627$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…f0babacked Yes | 0c | 45,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,038$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 101 | 0%0 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 37,610$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 36,032$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 28,414$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.56 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,191$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 27,546$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 1c | 22,625$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Yes | 5c | 20,782$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 19,211$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.25 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…cc39backed Yes | 0c | 18,858$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes | 0c | 18,630$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 3c | 17,851$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.85 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…2039backed Yes | 2c | 17,235$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 0c | 15,372$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…2241backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 2c | 14,727$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 0c | 13,657$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 2c | 13,511$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…34c6backed Yes | 0c | 13,012$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…e4e8backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c614backed Yes | 2c | 11,710$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,860$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…8e60backed Yes | 10c | 10,712$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…c7a2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,806$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b5…1f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,354$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…faeabacked Yes | 5c | 8,275$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 8,129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…4a4abacked Yes | 0c | 7,942$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…5d85backed Yes | 0c | 7,850$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231b…73dfbacked Yes | 0c | 7,271$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed Yes | 0c | 6,767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…d17fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,749$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…79a8backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…02bebacked Yes | 2c | 6,075$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…19c8backed Yes | 0c | 5,939$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…2a5fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,602$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…4837backed Yes | 1c | 5,502$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,083$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…f50ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…68f2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9935backed Yes | 0c | 4,969$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…86a3backed Yes | 2c | 4,840$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 3c | 4,489$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…5f16backed Yes | 1c | 3,863$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…fdb9backed Yes | 1c | 3,788$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…54e4backed Yes | 1c | 3,425$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f06…753bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,404$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,149$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 1c | 3,077$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 0c | 3,025$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 0c | 2,920$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…0aacbacked Yes | 6c | 2,886$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…13d1backed Yes | 5c | 2,885$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,645$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,420$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,239$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 3c | 2,095$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 1,805$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7d…6366backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…992dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,735$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…74f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,725$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…f7debacked Yes | 1c | 1,434$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887d…634ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,433$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…d685backed Yes | 7c | 1,139$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd47…d94fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,126$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…d914backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…2c09backed Yes | 3c | 1,072$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 6c | 1,071$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…208dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…c87bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3e…3477backed Yes | 3c | 900$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…6cd5backed Yes | 7c | 873.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes | 4c | 846.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 7c | 836.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…a3aebacked Yes | 4c | 762.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 7c | 760.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…25d3backed Yes | 8c | 712.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…1283backed Yes | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.