TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfafb…27ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8345.8%38 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.94
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+41.1%+$84.4
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$324
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$418.6
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.48
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+113.7%+$266.04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.4%+$110.7
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$93.21
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.5%+$44.96
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$229.97
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.62
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.18
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+187.9%+$662.06
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.99
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+57%+$56.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.8
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.