AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38378e46d156ba21ac42875c68973dbfb9e9769b921af987fa93762a17007a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 4c | 82,015$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.06 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 4c | 28,899$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.75 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f0f6backed Yes | 19c | 23,583$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 22,929$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…2241backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…707fbacked Yes | 13c | 16,782$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 15,193$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,017$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 11,232$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.56 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 10,489$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…cc8ebacked Yes | 5c | 8,037$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 3c | 7,546$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…8794backed Yes | 30c | 6,672$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8d57backed Yes | 3c | 5,978$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,795$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…abc7backed Yes | 1c | 4,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…b67ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,036$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,750$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes | 5c | 3,624$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,535$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,359$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…17eabacked Yes | 30c | 3,343$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed Yes | 13c | 3,221$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Yes | 7c | 3,171$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…54e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,097$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 1c | 3,001$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 12c | 2,900$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…9522backed Yes | 2c | 2,859$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 9c | 2,801$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…af2dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,719$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,685$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…a74dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,551$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…82fdbacked Yes | 30c | 2,516$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…19c8backed Yes | 2c | 2,295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 4c | 2,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…f9dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,207$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 20c | 2,069$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…6bb1backed Yes | 11c | 1,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,792$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…33d3backed Yes | 15c | 1,688$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 1,662$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…f69ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,514$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…9544backed Yes | 4c | 1,396$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 2c | 1,386$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 5c | 1,277$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 1,264$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…1283backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…db09backed Yes | 30c | 1,075$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,070$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -89%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,008$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed Yes | 1c | 1,005$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 12c | 999.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d56fbacked Yes | 3c | 994.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…64cabacked Yes | 31c | 977.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…5dc8backed Yes | 1c | 949.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed Yes | 11c | 948.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 1c | 943$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…d6c4backed Yes | 8c | 916.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0843backed Yes | 1c | 894.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 1c | 858.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…e2c5backed Yes | 22c | 839.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 30c | 795.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…7c77backed Yes | 29c | 788.12$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 741.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 2c | 710$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 7c | 648.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…9e38backed Yes | 33c | 623.82$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…7b80backed Yes | 29c | 614.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…1252backed Yes | 7c | 585.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 571.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 13c | 551.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 9c | 536.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…0b13backed Yes | 6c | 534.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…48aabacked Yes | 4c | 518.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…28d6backed Yes | 4c | 516.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…d858backed Yes | 23c | 515.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 512.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…b826backed Yes | 26c | 510$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 16c | 454.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 12c | 449.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…819bbacked Yes | 19c | 425.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed Yes | 25c | 422.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…6024backed Yes | 10c | 407.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…945bbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…d612backed No | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…03cbbacked Yes | 25c | 395$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c614backed Yes | 7c | 391.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…7e2ebacked Yes | 12c | 372.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b08…8f52backed Yes | 25c | 367.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes | 8c | 363.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…82f1backed Yes | 28c | 357.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 77c | 354.17$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 6c | 353.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…4e17backed Yes | 28c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.