TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb01b…e951

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$135.01
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$740.49
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.92
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$227.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+148.5%+$906.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$341.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.43
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$96.47
Bitcoin all time high before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $117m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-57.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+197.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+426.3%+$421.29
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+67.4%+$134.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+121.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.4
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.