Movies · resolved market
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7bad897bff614cdd9e83d11420a3fd2957c8a254dda187b93554362aa833b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d4a…cd8dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 7,650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 1c | 2,821$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 17c | 2,038$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 78c | 1,841$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 23c | 810.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 48c | 802.05$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 23c | 589.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 18c | 545.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 50c | 499.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 490.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…1dadbacked Yes | 22c | 463.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 16c | 391.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…618abacked Yes | 14c | 386.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed Yes | 3c | 380$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 18c | 276.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 22c | 247$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 67c | 220.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…cde2backed Yes | 28c | 215.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 75c | 191.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 74c | 162.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 76c | 144.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…e469backed Yes | 24c | 139.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 24c | 134$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked No | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 25c | 117.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 15c | 116.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 24c | 102.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Yes | 28c | 101.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…5381backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…2949backed Yes | 30c | 76.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 25c | 44.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes | 25c | 41.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 79c | 41.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…d7a6backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…d097backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…9b6abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ce…562dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 73c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?this page
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?Yes won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.