Movies · resolved market
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x657a8d8285e271827872edc7405ab6f1a79fa1d7a2df6f6f19ef2bf30a6bbc6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b06…1dadbacked No | 44c | 1,752$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 1,592$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.51 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73f…c5efbacked No | 1c | 1,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…c9d2backed Yes | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 49c | 859.72$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.65 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 50c | 660.58$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yes | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed No | 50c | 457.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 49c | 415.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…7fe5backed Yes | 52c | 372.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed No | 54c | 353.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 55c | 311.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 54c | 263.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Yes | 45c | 220.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 46c | 220.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 55c | 218.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 32c | 212.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 54c | 209.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 28c | 204.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 51c | 147.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…530ebacked Yes | 53c | 145.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…9267backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…e469backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked No | 47c | 91.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed No | 59c | 85.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 59c | 70.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 49c | 67.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…c8e9backed No | 64c | 62.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…d097backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 52c | 57.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 40c | 53.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…a489backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a354backed No | 54c | 42.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…4c3ebacked Yes | 47c | 41.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…4d01backed Yes | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…c3c5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…99b9backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 67c | 32.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…6483backed Yes | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 40c | 26.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…b1bfbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…8207backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?this page
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?No won
- Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.