TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37a4…a487

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$327.01
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.4%+$80.37
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.66
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.25
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$19.44
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.2%+$91.49
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.4%+$19.11
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$20.88
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.7%+$35.59
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.58
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.4%+$21.79
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44%+$22.23
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.4%+$22.47
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.58
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89.7%+$17.2
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+348.2%+$145.43
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.72
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.6%+$138.46
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+48.4%+$72.5
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$116.62
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$10.47
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+332.6%+$104.56
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.38
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$267.75
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$9.37
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$256.63
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.12
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.2%+$19.96
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$31.38
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$16.31
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90.6%+$37.03
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+131.7%+$50.1
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.2%+$25.96
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.27
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.09
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.16
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+353.2%+$53.41
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.93
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.81
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$940.16
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.49
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.83
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+599.5%+$1,142.68
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.82
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.16
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.89
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$10.79
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Zohran Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.42
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.51
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.41
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.41
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.88
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$550
Will the Green Party win 2 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$24.7
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+400%+$446.4
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$31.32
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+46%+$22.51
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+120.6%+$50.93
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+114.2%+$154.16
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+185.6%+$325.21
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+115%+$23.76
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.66
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.52
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$278.31
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+34.1%+$16.81
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49.68
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+30%+$24.3
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48.96
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.92
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36.04
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.51
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.52
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.42
Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$42.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.59
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$15.81
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.46
"The Long Walk" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 94 and 95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$13.14
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.7
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.84
Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.47
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$119.14
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.09
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+106.8%+$16.03
Will Spencer Rattler start Week 1 for the Saints?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Tyler Shough start Week 1 for the Saints?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.68
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$438.58
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70.99
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$108.16
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.69
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+27.3%+$9.33
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.64
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.78
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+106%+$40.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$56.84
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+159.1%+$71.26
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.1%+$51.23
One Direction reunion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.19
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.9%+$118.77
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$11.17
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.68
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.01
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$51.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.57
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$18.69
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.24
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$34.56
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+153.1%+$638.95
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$87.29
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.52
Will D.C. United beat Chicago Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.87
Will Chicago Fire beat D.C. United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+128%+$4,136.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+249.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+246.3%+$38.18
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+253.3%+$34.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+242.8%+$56.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+168.6%+$59.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+273.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+273.7%+$225.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$33.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napheesa Collier win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.