NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6edc6c77c16ef3ba1bcd646159f12f8b8a39528e500dcff95b9220ccfbb75141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,203,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,464,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,203,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 71c | 487,056$344,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,847.78 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 52c | 403,814$209,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,200.29 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed No | 27c | 355,528$96,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,992.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Yes | 69c | 327,700$227,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,497.39 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 15c | 288,049$44,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,577.69 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Yes | 71c | 256,529$183,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,236.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 31c | 238,541$73,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,282.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 215,092$76,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,405.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 73c | 208,529$152,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,398.64 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 36c | 188,040$67,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,582.03 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 40c | 169,374$67,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,483.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked No | 36c | 162,927$58,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,710.69 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 38c | 153,684$57,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,008.87 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…de49backed No | 68c | 146,000$99,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…398bbacked No | 24c | 141,095$33,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,367.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 35c | 140,587$48,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,673.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Yes | 74c | 132,360$97,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,413.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 128,274$47,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,627.14 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 43c | 128,186$54,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,298.27 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 36c | 128,104$46,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,834.23 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Yes | 35c | 122,798$43,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,360.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 46c | 115,408$53,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,785.37 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…49c7backed No | 0c | 113,968$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 35c | 113,584$39,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,862.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 26c | 113,097$29,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,909.49 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked No | 18c | 109,227$19,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,928.65 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 28c | 108,904$30,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,785.35 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 30c | 108,203$32,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,997.41 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 12c | 106,874$12,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,377.7 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 42c | 104,152$43,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,643.29 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 33c | 86,028$28,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,799.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Yes | 46c | 85,711$39,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,528.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Yes | 56c | 84,321$47,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,131.12 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…e196backed Yes | 77c | 80,071$61,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,378.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 44c | 79,000$34,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,240 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…2343backed Yes | 39c | 76,256$29,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,814.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 77c | 74,476$57,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,094.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…9837backed No | 68c | 73,000$49,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…5832backed No | 68c | 73,000$49,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…d0c7backed Yes | 32c | 73,000$23,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…c5adbacked Yes | 32c | 73,000$23,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked No | 70c | 71,000$49,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…ffa7backed No | 70c | 71,000$49,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…ecaabacked Yes | 30c | 70,994$21,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,695.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 35c | 70,070$24,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,511.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 72c | 69,000$49,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,680 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…4db6backed No | 72c | 69,000$49,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…986ebacked Yes | 28c | 69,000$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Yes | 66c | 68,551$45,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,001.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 74c | 68,344$50,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,849.36 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 50c | 65,935$32,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,965.6 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed No | 27c | 65,761$18,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,047.06 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 28c | 64,378$18,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,101.12 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 51c | 61,121$31,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,338.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 74c | 59,007$43,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,495.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 26c | 58,296$15,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,869.28 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked No | 59c | 56,696$33,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,650.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +302%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 30c | 54,784$16,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,470.48 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 53,868$32,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,048.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes | 64c | 47,618$30,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,190.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 29c | 46,406$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,805.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 73c | 46,000$33,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,449.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes | 70c | 44,318$30,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,331.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…41d1backed No | 23c | 43,500$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Yes | 75c | 43,340$32,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,744.84 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 25c | 41,313$10,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,138.61 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked No | 25c | 40,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed No | 18c | 39,862$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 57c | 37,053$21,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,787.48 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked No | 20c | 35,053$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…7d4bbacked Yes | 36c | 34,298$12,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,903.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 30c | 33,342$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 17c | 31,289$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.91 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…bd54backed Yes | 32c | 31,071$10,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…7ea6backed No | 34c | 30,588$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 19c | 29,536$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,007.17 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 18c | 28,224$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,206.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 71c | 28,000$19,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…30c6backed Yes | 28c | 27,915$7,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,098.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 25c | 27,454$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.22 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4275backed Yes | 37c | 27,027$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,027.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…387abacked Yes | 40c | 24,970$10,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,911.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…2dddbacked Yes | 32c | 24,914$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,941.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…74bdbacked Yes | 33c | 24,889$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,675.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 52c | 24,721$12,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,878.43 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 62c | 24,168$14,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.19 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Yes | 71c | 23,907$16,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…954ebacked Yes | 29c | 23,229$6,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,492.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 54c | 23,162$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,743.22 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed Yes | 73c | 22,933$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b64…e8c1backed Yes | 28c | 22,888$6,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,479.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…ad8dbacked Yes | 32c | 22,083$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,016.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 73c | 22,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 33c | 21,766$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,583.5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…779fbacked Yes | 35c | 21,379$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,896.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 39c | 20,900$8,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 26c | 19,270$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,275.54 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.