NBA · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c8641a89ffa9cd42c09216f63ed188b42302103edfa691c3f70fc55e7fc195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,225,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,704,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,225,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 8,250,684$22,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,968.54 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 3,387,440$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,070.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,597,294$13,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,852.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…ab01backed Yes | 0c | 1,003,765$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 799,233$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.41 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 433,980$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes | 1c | 335,519$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 276,522$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.8 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 264,999$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…e2a7backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 1c | 245,584$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.16 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 233,549$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.85 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…8a96backed Yes | 1c | 206,947$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0771backed Yes | 0c | 196,667$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…b061backed Yes | 0c | 177,873$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…7039backed Yes | 0c | 170,757$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68a…3bf0backed Yes | 0c | 167,730$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…f9a3backed Yes | 0c | 166,167$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 158,030$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.77 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 148,230$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.54 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked Yes | 1c | 126,271$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…0798backed Yes | 1c | 120,055$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6219backed Yes | 0c | 99,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…674bbacked Yes | 0c | 99,700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…a45bbacked Yes | 1c | 96,063$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348b…0561backed Yes | 1c | 95,631$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…e789backed Yes | 1c | 94,619$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…7088backed Yes | 1c | 94,359$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…35a4backed Yes | 0c | 93,800$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4614backed Yes | 1c | 93,538$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…a8e7backed Yes | 1c | 93,371$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…f3f2backed Yes | 1c | 92,740$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5e34backed Yes | 1c | 92,281$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6b…b378backed Yes | 1c | 92,010$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…639dbacked Yes | 1c | 91,954$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…e4a5backed Yes | 1c | 91,704$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe594…f982backed Yes | 1c | 91,570$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…2fc2backed Yes | 1c | 91,408$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…472dbacked Yes | 1c | 91,318$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…950dbacked Yes | 1c | 91,251$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…5014backed Yes | 1c | 90,991$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…965cbacked Yes | 1c | 90,771$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…d303backed Yes | 1c | 90,446$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…88d5backed Yes | 1c | 90,413$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…9dfbbacked Yes | 1c | 89,735$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…36fdbacked Yes | 1c | 88,576$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 0c | 88,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c62…bb5dbacked Yes | 1c | 86,375$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…9a02backed Yes | 1c | 86,332$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…bcbcbacked Yes | 1c | 85,468$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…b880backed Yes | 1c | 85,400$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…9f65backed Yes | 1c | 85,193$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…acc3backed Yes | 1c | 84,652$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…b641backed Yes | 1c | 84,350$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cec…a981backed Yes | 1c | 83,338$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…6e29backed Yes | 1c | 81,860$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…cc23backed Yes | 1c | 81,662$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aad…9585backed Yes | 1c | 81,538$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…8662backed Yes | 0c | 81,517$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…feefbacked Yes | 1c | 81,419$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…bcccbacked Yes | 1c | 79,818$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…3425backed Yes | 1c | 79,606$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…324dbacked Yes | 1c | 78,786$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e48…0b29backed Yes | 1c | 78,739$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…cd56backed Yes | 1c | 78,724$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…4877backed Yes | 1c | 78,424$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…0c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 78,180$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…7ca7backed Yes | 1c | 77,805$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…5262backed Yes | 1c | 77,248$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…5e85backed Yes | 1c | 76,884$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…51f8backed Yes | 1c | 76,079$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…7a9abacked Yes | 1c | 74,655$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…09f9backed Yes | 1c | 74,128$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…8403backed Yes | 1c | 73,835$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…0991backed Yes | 1c | 72,794$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…5567backed Yes | 1c | 72,785$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…7599backed Yes | 1c | 72,377$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…bdb6backed Yes | 1c | 72,230$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…34e8backed Yes | 1c | 71,882$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…4aebbacked Yes | 1c | 71,839$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd4…a334backed Yes | 0c | 71,453$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…f4fcbacked Yes | 1c | 70,633$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…f725backed Yes | 1c | 70,617$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…d72ebacked Yes | 1c | 70,487$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…bd9abacked Yes | 1c | 70,438$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…16edbacked Yes | 1c | 70,400$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…d297backed Yes | 1c | 70,370$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…cb80backed Yes | 1c | 70,247$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…4af0backed Yes | 1c | 70,106$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…f214backed Yes | 1c | 69,671$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…89d7backed Yes | 1c | 69,634$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…badbbacked Yes | 1c | 69,500$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…f8c2backed Yes | 1c | 69,482$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…2919backed Yes | 1c | 69,468$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…8af0backed Yes | 1c | 69,194$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…d069backed Yes | 1c | 69,161$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…dc39backed Yes | 1c | 68,892$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a3bbbacked Yes | 1c | 68,695$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…c310backed Yes | 1c | 68,665$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.