TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,983,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,427,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,983,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c706,698$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,217.528521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c299,997$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c161,873$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.74563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c156,596$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.614022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes0c129,330$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4410542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes1c118,271$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.1290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c118,088$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.75326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes1c108,863$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.4172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6219backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Yes2c81,686$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.4514852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c77,053$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9513929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c70,576$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6825836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Yes2c47,693$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes1c42,273$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.44260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c38,259$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.36175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-77%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c37,549$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.02326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c35,143$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.59432.3%1 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-80%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c33,889$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.253525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes2c30,850$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.721,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes0c23,760$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.527147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes0c21,362$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.085628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1669…d72ebacked Yes1c19,950$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc9…8f7fbacked Yes1c19,945$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8040…5e6ebacked Yes1c17,391$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91a…4007backed Yes1c16,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c16,366$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.86427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes1c16,053$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes1c16,047$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.536113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes1c15,107$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6713548.1%65 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7adc…e3edbacked Yes1c13,643$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1d…31d4backed Yes1c11,334$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes1c10,401$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…5bc8backed Yes1c9,518$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…cff7backed Yes1c9,498$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef0…7885backed Yes2c8,663$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78f…3973backed Yes4c8,035$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…222cbacked Yes2c7,899$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea4…703bbacked Yes0c7,857$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+444%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes3c6,686$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.515020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe77a…45ddbacked Yes1c6,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ab…bac9backed Yes2c6,117$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes3c6,083$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.389516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3d…eb28backed Yes2c6,059$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf983…e45fbacked Yes2c5,882$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146e…48e3backed Yes2c5,882$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Yes2c5,700$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.93560%21 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c5,657$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.021,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e58…3ababacked Yes1c5,549$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3731…d9bcbacked Yes1c5,525$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes2c5,500$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8eb…cce3backed Yes1c5,200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…75fabacked Yes1c5,057$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc760…a9cfbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433d…faf4backed Yes1c4,236$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf117…f042backed Yes1c4,064$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c4,050$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes1c3,996$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7528341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c3,788$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a4…9500backed Yes1c3,781$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…002cbacked Yes1c3,667$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e23…ebf5backed Yes1c3,523$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes8c3,075$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582010%2 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35dd…94d6backed Yes1c3,074$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…2b2ebacked Yes1c2,828$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f92…8c21backed Yes1c2,749$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff53…b939backed Yes1c2,727$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090f…8500backed Yes1c2,650$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c7…a668backed Yes2c2,521$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes2c2,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes1c2,444$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…7b25backed Yes1c2,395$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa65…bc22backed Yes1c2,312$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4684…1e7cbacked Yes2c2,292$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0470%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes1c2,265$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7190%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b37…d6cdbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…ffccbacked Yes1c2,143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…ee30backed Yes2c2,004$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…3cbcbacked Yes2c2,004$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d9…13e8backed Yes3c2,003$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732a…6d13backed Yes2c2,003$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…4cbdbacked Yes2c2,003$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…c2dabacked Yes3c2,003$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…bf38backed Yes3c2,003$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77af…81cfbacked Yes2c2,002$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5d…75cdbacked Yes2c2,002$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aef…fd19backed Yes2c2,002$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-61.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2fd…88c9backed Yes3c1,965$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes3c1,956$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.86586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287c…8146backed Yes1c1,950$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…cc09backed Yes3c1,900$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35c…facbbacked Yes2c1,900$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4609…bdb2backed Yes1c1,889$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b34…c99ebacked Yes1c1,879$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…6ae6backed Yes1c1,872$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.