TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,911,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,454,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,911,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c4,381,387$13,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,022.882615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c3,116,332$17,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,406.13110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdd…a653backed Yes1c1,775,060$9,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,398.751216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c1,114,214$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.078521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c964,507$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.831978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes0c942,917$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.965020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c816,137$4,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,766.375313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes0c739,000$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7394022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…c00bbacked Yes1c711,483$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb760…0a68backed Yes1c694,675$4,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,862.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid-22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4625…4bfcbacked Yes1c691,855$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…7684backed Yes1c647,592$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…383ebacked Yes1c600,134$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…f469backed Yes1c591,483$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fb…3a92backed Yes1c572,127$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ff…284fbacked Yes1c559,036$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c534,995$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.98427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6deb…9f79backed Yes1c531,068$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0f…026cbacked Yes1c531,068$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…f432backed Yes1c531,068$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2862…96c6backed Yes1c531,068$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bd…510bbacked Yes1c531,068$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1cd…19bdbacked Yes1c531,049$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe51c…11a1backed Yes1c531,030$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…f7d1backed Yes1c531,030$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1771…35f9backed Yes1c530,984$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4eb…2853backed Yes1c530,984$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c496,005$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c453,404$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.33130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b4…e7e3backed Yes1c442,371$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…75a2backed Yes1c388,332$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x280c…cb0abacked Yes1c373,274$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…6ba3backed Yes1c368,268$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.3460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5466…020bbacked Yes1c364,667$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5d…5409backed Yes1c364,667$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c40…8074backed Yes1c364,667$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…a008backed Yes1c364,644$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3924…fafcbacked Yes1c364,588$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e46…5b17backed Yes1c364,560$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd811…fad3backed Yes1c364,531$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb4…f4cbbacked Yes1c364,528$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f7…d54abacked Yes1c364,500$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a9…c8a1backed Yes1c364,500$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4a67backed Yes1c364,500$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555e…5270backed Yes1c364,223$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.34425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fd…f93abacked Yes1c364,149$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa764…650abacked Yes1c364,097$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc53…7586backed Yes1c364,084$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f74…e9e0backed Yes1c363,795$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…0814backed Yes1c363,705$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30f…1a2dbacked Yes1c362,668$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.3460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb60b…dc9bbacked Yes1c360,169$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…faf8backed Yes1c360,164$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aee…dbc2backed Yes1c360,138$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3980…bef3backed Yes1c359,859$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7574…45f3backed Yes1c359,859$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8c…f38cbacked Yes1c359,554$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f4…ba82backed Yes1c359,103$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…adc4backed Yes1c359,053$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.2760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4a…4879backed Yes1c359,015$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…882ebacked Yes1c358,760$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f6…d8aebacked Yes1c358,418$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…c289backed Yes1c358,367$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4d…e5ffbacked Yes1c358,054$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c3…78f2backed Yes1c357,887$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e0…d001backed Yes1c357,887$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0220…5622backed Yes1c357,887$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9321…10a4backed Yes1c357,887$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c8…1b28backed Yes1c357,291$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265d…e58abacked Yes1c357,238$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb6…4897backed Yes1c357,052$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00a…599cbacked Yes1c357,025$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf8…b61ebacked Yes1c356,977$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30d…db68backed Yes1c356,696$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58b…d052backed Yes1c356,312$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a6…eb74backed Yes1c356,262$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8d…ad74backed Yes1c355,800$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…0daebacked Yes1c355,800$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdd…65babacked Yes1c355,723$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…ded9backed Yes1c355,438$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…3ddebacked Yes1c355,438$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7108…629cbacked Yes1c355,158$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…93a0backed Yes1c354,836$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…27febacked Yes1c354,518$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579c…517fbacked Yes1c354,467$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9357…d5f0backed Yes1c354,253$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46be…d673backed Yes1c354,205$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…0c1abacked Yes1c354,146$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc39…1b5abacked Yes1c354,122$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93d…f39ebacked Yes1c354,083$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…066abacked Yes1c352,946$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…db6fbacked Yes1c352,918$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…dfe1backed Yes1c352,891$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8924…57afbacked Yes1c352,847$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…91a7backed Yes1c352,847$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1da…6836backed Yes1c351,443$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…0e3dbacked Yes1c351,367$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…e2eabacked Yes1c351,231$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c4…1bbdbacked Yes1c351,231$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0594…64d3backed Yes1c351,206$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.