TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,668,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,650,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,668,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c4,117,497$13,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,431.582615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c3,865,076$24,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,729.63120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8db…e9b2backed Yes0c1,627,455$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes0c1,293,062$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.445020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c952,257$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.661978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Yes0c614,982$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c613,036$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.22110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c499,995$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c415,137$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.431827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c302,712$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c301,202$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.3111337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ac…cbc1backed Yes0c299,998$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c276,000$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c273,264$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.66535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c260,057$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.23462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c250,171$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.898521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c170,512$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.58427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8187…37acbacked Yes0c161,047$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c140,883$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.1820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…4c4ebacked Yes0c112,140$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ce…08a3backed Yes0c111,837$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3077…02b3backed Yes1c111,109$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40df…eceebacked Yes0c109,733$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b48…a326backed Yes0c103,366$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…b3a2backed Yes0c101,638$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c101,124$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.47260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…3a14backed Yes0c92,871$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…e5dcbacked Yes0c89,875$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bcf…b207backed Yes0c85,376$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e37…d81fbacked Yes1c74,000$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a6…f35fbacked Yes0c69,910$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa9…cb5fbacked Yes0c68,910$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4c…58c2backed Yes0c67,912$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b4…ba26backed Yes0c67,912$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7a…f6c5backed Yes0c67,911$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a51…8c56backed Yes0c67,910$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1336…b57bbacked Yes0c67,910$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb27…a968backed Yes0c66,912$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeed1…dcdabacked Yes0c65,963$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…a2cdbacked Yes0c65,913$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6733…11a3backed Yes0c65,913$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…e160backed Yes0c65,912$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4cb9backed Yes0c64,913$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6591…1be6backed Yes0c63,914$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130a…470ebacked Yes0c63,914$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x165d…2b72backed Yes0c62,915$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb896…213abacked Yes0c62,915$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf58…91a8backed Yes0c62,915$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf685…e49abacked Yes0c62,914$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…f3bfbacked Yes0c61,918$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b0…077ebacked Yes0c61,915$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4de…fbbcbacked Yes0c61,915$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d0…809abacked Yes0c61,915$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6397…9407backed Yes0c60,916$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25be…033cbacked Yes0c60,916$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3510backed Yes0c60,916$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cee…84ebbacked Yes0c60,915$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e0…17dfbacked Yes0c59,917$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5860…9fb3backed Yes0c59,916$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…eeb6backed Yes0c58,918$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e1…0bf6backed Yes0c58,917$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4920…e7adbacked Yes0c58,917$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf069…4731backed Yes0c58,916$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.83540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4809…bc32backed Yes0c57,918$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…29cfbacked Yes0c57,918$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb771…3917backed Yes0c57,918$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…4fe3backed Yes0c57,917$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c3…04e2backed Yes1c57,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa077…c7e8backed Yes0c56,919$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ad…68c0backed Yes0c56,919$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3531…21bfbacked Yes0c56,918$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5182…be3ebacked Yes0c56,917$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31f6…0db0backed Yes0c55,922$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aaa…0016backed Yes0c55,920$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7664…0d14backed Yes0c55,919$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb371…7fadbacked Yes0c55,025$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd79…7d54backed Yes0c54,942$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d2…8dcdbacked Yes0c54,942$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfd…cf4abacked Yes0c54,942$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca71…5e90backed Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ab…4b9fbacked Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060b…7d8ebacked Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bd…d20dbacked Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…d17cbacked Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a8…fd47backed Yes0c54,920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc01…423abacked Yes0c54,910$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.82333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d1…7888backed Yes0c54,901$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e05…b276backed Yes0c54,887$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5d…df06backed Yes0c54,876$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b8…a8d5backed Yes0c54,847$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0857…9bddbacked Yes0c54,842$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80c…5cacbacked Yes0c54,797$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540a…a0f9backed Yes0c54,772$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.54333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…9829backed Yes0c54,762$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…250ebacked Yes0c54,762$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb7…af7ebacked Yes0c54,732$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d2…6dc8backed Yes0c54,727$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b97…4012backed Yes0c54,712$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.42333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd3…9891backed Yes0c54,697$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8459…cd81backed Yes0c54,687$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.