TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,838,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,526,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,838,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2efb…4c54backed Yes3c1,105,978$29,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,635.85130%0 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7b…e363backed Yes1c441,636$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes2c332,538$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.34910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Yes6c305,523$17,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,696.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c297,269$5,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0288521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…1efdbacked Yes1c204,039$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes3c186,462$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,187.526435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes2c176,796$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.41326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes3c167,387$5,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,776.9727547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c164,881$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.32427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes1c137,841$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes1c132,009$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.0740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes2c120,669$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.664022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c112,921$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.38185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-84.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes1c103,908$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.4880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5814…aeabbacked Yes1c100,367$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes2c100,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c88,268$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.51978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c81,989$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.27326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes2c75,535$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.8395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c73,545$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.02185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid+178%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes5c65,675$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.835736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Yes5c64,514$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.1823342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes2c63,656$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.882850%14 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+300.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe15f…4456backed Yes1c62,937$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes2c60,140$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.69175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-77%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Yes1c55,555$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.111842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3e…2b47backed Yes3c51,000$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes1c50,001$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.641,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa9…4419backed Yes1c50,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf883…df74backed Yes2c50,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3112…5af7backed Yes1c41,846$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…829bbacked Yes2c41,120$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5f…6c7cbacked Yes2c41,120$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…0218backed Yes2c41,069$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…82f4backed Yes2c40,983$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8844…421dbacked Yes2c40,321$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16e…4076backed Yes5c39,846$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.51825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c38,895$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.58984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c38,720$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.43535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes3c38,070$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.9728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd76f…edb5backed Yes1c37,313$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-78.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c37,119$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.355020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes1c36,999$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.99150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…cae0backed Yes1c36,364$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…4d1dbacked Yes1c36,300$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…8f17backed Yes1c36,183$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d36…5283backed Yes1c35,841$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1275…ed1abacked Yes1c35,817$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80fc…edc2backed Yes1c35,649$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ba…041ebacked Yes1c35,572$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x600d…9510backed Yes1c35,426$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd3…3313backed Yes1c35,182$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…1463backed Yes1c35,099$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb6…ad10backed Yes1c34,696$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa0…40cabacked Yes1c34,688$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes3c34,655$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.241513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa025…5dbcbacked Yes1c34,652$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc69…f2c1backed Yes1c34,625$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b5…c3b4backed Yes1c34,522$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…b455backed Yes1c34,501$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75f…5292backed Yes1c34,171$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fd…2351backed Yes1c33,967$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf884…9201backed Yes1c33,963$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b64…fe00backed Yes1c33,956$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb924…f315backed Yes1c33,691$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0550…1e82backed Yes1c33,665$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…2cd5backed Yes1c33,380$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…f7e9backed Yes1c33,356$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd98…4ea4backed Yes1c33,036$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb6…3974backed Yes1c33,020$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…c9e9backed Yes1c32,995$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb80…fe68backed Yes1c32,882$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…2958backed Yes1c32,806$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db5…c7b0backed Yes1c32,768$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd01…387ebacked Yes1c32,679$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…364abacked Yes1c32,571$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b3a…57b3backed Yes1c32,472$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1381…b6d0backed Yes1c31,674$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes2c31,411$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.886113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9507…9220backed Yes1c31,278$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea9…ea5cbacked Yes1c31,156$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1098…6531backed Yes1c30,807$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92f…4e16backed Yes1c30,450$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1c…4390backed Yes1c30,385$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…636dbacked Yes1c30,306$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9481…ec86backed Yes1c30,223$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208b…8973backed Yes1c30,162$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ae…c256backed Yes1c30,096$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e8…426cbacked Yes1c29,959$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa4…1a21backed Yes1c29,875$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…997abacked Yes1c29,798$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5d…c8efbacked Yes1c29,613$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae85…8a27backed Yes1c29,567$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32e…6fdebacked Yes1c29,523$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b9…2fadbacked Yes1c29,514$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0630…824abacked Yes1c29,513$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0279…b2e1backed Yes1c29,513$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc129…5b21backed Yes1c29,500$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes1c29,497$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.981,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.