TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,011,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,152,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,011,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,778 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c5,887,413$19,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,536.842615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c1,226,937$11,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,144.36120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c870,883$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.04110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes1c371,949$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.9340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6219backed Yes0c339,997$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.99110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes1c320,046$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.79260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c289,386$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.71978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…6a06backed Yes1c276,176$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…59e0backed Yes1c275,396$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9873…d263backed Yes1c274,740$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb44…457ebacked Yes1c274,330$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb566…af15backed Yes1c274,216$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03f…67e8backed Yes1c274,140$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa341…b295backed Yes1c274,107$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0e…6bbcbacked Yes1c274,001$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…6954backed Yes1c273,906$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2b…762cbacked Yes1c273,864$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243f…e75cbacked Yes1c273,810$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6016…3db0backed Yes1c273,664$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…325dbacked Yes1c273,310$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8601…553cbacked Yes1c273,130$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…1642backed Yes1c273,077$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b1…10efbacked Yes1c272,946$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc06a…ea81backed Yes1c272,850$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6c…aff7backed Yes1c272,843$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cb…1d34backed Yes1c272,796$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb44…9cc2backed Yes1c272,736$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae38…3492backed Yes1c272,729$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…936cbacked Yes1c272,577$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da1…64dbbacked Yes1c272,477$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558a…ac11backed Yes1c272,454$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccf…7b10backed Yes1c272,420$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed9a…d958backed Yes1c272,276$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf052…9e06backed Yes1c272,267$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…4ea9backed Yes1c272,199$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…a5a5backed Yes1c271,994$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3626…bdcabacked Yes1c271,907$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e54…3916backed Yes1c271,819$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55e…d433backed Yes1c271,744$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6cd…e52cbacked Yes1c271,556$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cff…555bbacked Yes1c271,431$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13b…4dd5backed Yes1c271,421$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeef…9087backed Yes1c271,360$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849a…4b90backed Yes1c271,211$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976c…fc89backed Yes1c271,059$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ee…b317backed Yes1c270,990$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9a…12f5backed Yes1c270,981$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8a…2ba7backed Yes1c270,930$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eda…1481backed Yes1c270,811$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…e170backed Yes1c270,571$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda04…c579backed Yes1c270,567$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da7…5a3abacked Yes1c270,564$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4528…04d7backed Yes1c270,329$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab38…fafabacked Yes1c270,300$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a4…86a6backed Yes1c270,267$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79b…889fbacked Yes1c270,230$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428d…a56cbacked Yes1c270,220$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854e…6670backed Yes1c270,180$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…182dbacked Yes1c270,177$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8086…9192backed Yes1c270,123$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf2…ae37backed Yes1c270,116$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb41…1eaebacked Yes1c270,034$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea20…a7cebacked Yes1c269,990$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4141…19abbacked Yes1c269,940$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8b…cd6bbacked Yes1c269,936$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5154…e07abacked Yes1c269,874$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4992…8178backed Yes1c269,863$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fe…1df5backed Yes1c269,860$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285e…6a8cbacked Yes1c269,647$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b12…2f7abacked Yes1c269,644$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a4…2176backed Yes1c269,619$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338a…2f7dbacked Yes1c269,564$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c9…b0d3backed Yes1c269,460$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c1…2d31backed Yes1c269,440$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936c…c44cbacked Yes1c269,439$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…23a5backed Yes1c269,393$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec9…5518backed Yes1c269,291$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d82…ed58backed Yes1c269,217$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…bd5cbacked Yes1c269,204$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e59…6d8bbacked Yes1c269,187$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb319…1f60backed Yes1c269,133$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed2…c935backed Yes1c269,031$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579d…52afbacked Yes1c268,981$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb4…58edbacked Yes1c268,979$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…7104backed Yes1c268,969$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f3…d096backed Yes1c268,950$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932c…e96cbacked Yes1c268,937$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1812…e453backed Yes1c268,889$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…8503backed Yes1c268,883$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…cb95backed Yes1c268,846$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa436…b89bbacked Yes1c268,811$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4183…29cdbacked Yes1c268,801$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ce…597bbacked Yes1c268,723$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…ccc3backed Yes1c268,693$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf546…9d5abacked Yes1c268,663$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2c…4a3bbacked Yes1c268,577$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fc…dad6backed Yes1c268,567$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…438abacked Yes1c268,564$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f1…eb86backed Yes1c268,546$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe8…79c2backed Yes1c268,544$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.