NBA · resolved market
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f437a76e4e76fbe81b4269e5f8ffd98ade4751ec849baa0a68284723645904d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,431,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,032,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,431,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,090 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,744,876$33,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,882.38 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 999,503$17,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,521.38 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 1c | 255,941$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 2c | 245,847$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.04 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Yes | 1c | 239,337$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 2c | 236,514$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.87 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 185,055$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.47 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 2c | 156,803$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +374.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 156,752$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.74 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 142,659$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.3 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 2c | 139,000$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.42 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 2c | 136,037$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.12 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 117,107$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.56 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 104,941$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 103,551$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.95 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…c245backed Yes | 2c | 95,291$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 1c | 93,379$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.01 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 90,551$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.93 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 3c | 80,000$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.2 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 2c | 77,105$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +178%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…ccbbbacked Yes | 1c | 75,225$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 1c | 73,675$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.69 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 1c | 72,510$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.84 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 1c | 67,018$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.84 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 66,450$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.46 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 2c | 66,177$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 60,705$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.43 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…841fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,983$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ee…30c1backed Yes | 1c | 59,560$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…e553backed Yes | 1c | 59,560$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…71efbacked Yes | 1c | 59,509$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…ddd8backed Yes | 1c | 59,501$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…1f4ebacked Yes | 1c | 57,713$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…584cbacked Yes | 1c | 57,655$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec55backed Yes | 1c | 57,655$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…5f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 57,655$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…8a00backed Yes | 1c | 57,637$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…904dbacked Yes | 1c | 56,789$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…286cbacked Yes | 1c | 56,531$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…3e73backed Yes | 1c | 56,531$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…2fc8backed Yes | 1c | 56,531$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…679bbacked Yes | 1c | 56,175$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…46e8backed Yes | 1c | 56,139$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…04f3backed Yes | 1c | 56,122$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…b769backed Yes | 1c | 56,088$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…f701backed Yes | 1c | 56,088$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…8115backed Yes | 1c | 56,088$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…653abacked Yes | 1c | 56,075$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…fb4abacked Yes | 1c | 55,988$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…90b3backed Yes | 1c | 55,888$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…b74bbacked Yes | 1c | 55,816$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…40babacked Yes | 1c | 55,538$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…c9bbbacked Yes | 1c | 55,391$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…6814backed Yes | 1c | 55,070$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…9766backed Yes | 1c | 55,058$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…96bdbacked Yes | 1c | 54,785$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…f9a7backed Yes | 1c | 54,785$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…1128backed Yes | 1c | 54,761$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 52,582$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.29 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 2c | 50,841$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…d01cbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 1c | 47,532$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.36 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Yes | 2c | 45,135$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 44,426$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.55 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…d159backed Yes | 2c | 42,346$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 2c | 42,129$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 1c | 42,003$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.86 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Yes | 2c | 40,891$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 1c | 40,627$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.43 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 39,888$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 37,253$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 1c | 34,798$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 2c | 33,720$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Yes | 2c | 33,262$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 1c | 32,201$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 26,914$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…af0dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,722$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 1c | 25,374$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes | 1c | 25,133$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 24,728$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…df1ebacked Yes | 2c | 24,411$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 2c | 24,378$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.92 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 2c | 24,015$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 2c | 23,341$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.09 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 23,010$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 0c | 22,601$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 0c | 21,156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 1c | 20,375$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Yes | 2c | 19,348$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 1c | 18,912$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…5110backed Yes | 2c | 18,730$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…4121backed Yes | 2c | 18,496$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf230…478dbacked Yes | 2c | 18,345$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…3f74backed Yes | 2c | 18,064$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 2c | 17,864$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…b956backed Yes | 2c | 17,846$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…d199backed Yes | 2c | 17,557$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…e4afbacked Yes | 2c | 17,475$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.