NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101de66e10fed9c9e44a516de28398b72d1bee3df9d5818914c9ddbfc24e7e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,997,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,979,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,997,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 582,327$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.53 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 186,813$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.32 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…9e4fbacked Yes | 1c | 132,955$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked Yes | 1c | 114,636$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +302%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 113,198$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 2c | 97,574$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.15 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 2c | 92,831$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 2c | 89,998$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 1c | 88,118$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.54 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 71,749$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.89 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 70,706$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…dffabacked Yes | 4c | 62,923$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 56,755$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 2c | 55,077$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.53 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…0141backed Yes | 1c | 54,668$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…968dbacked Yes | 4c | 51,000$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…b3c7backed Yes | 2c | 51,000$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…3c66backed Yes | 4c | 50,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0eb5backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 2c | 47,360$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.16 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 2c | 46,334$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.01 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Yes | 2c | 45,303$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…e5a2backed Yes | 1c | 43,327$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 2c | 43,011$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.14 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 40,291$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.83 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…0313backed Yes | 2c | 36,244$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 4c | 35,062$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 34,650$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 3c | 33,893$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 33,241$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 2c | 31,070$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.15 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…4bc1backed Yes | 1c | 30,063$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 1c | 27,779$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…2170backed Yes | 4c | 26,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a78…0d4bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 1c | 24,677$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 2c | 24,555$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 1c | 22,809$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 2c | 22,389$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes | 5c | 21,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 20,175$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…5550backed Yes | 3c | 17,536$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 17,032$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.1 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 2c | 15,079$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…f250backed Yes | 0c | 14,646$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 3c | 12,881$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 2c | 11,781$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 1c | 11,545$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 2c | 10,770$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,625$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 3c | 10,483$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,417$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 3c | 10,106$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…82b1backed Yes | 1c | 9,775$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 3c | 9,668$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.82 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,378$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,000$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…deadbacked Yes | 1c | 8,660$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 1c | 8,600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 8,498$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…c8adbacked Yes | 1c | 8,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 8,183$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 1c | 8,062$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 7,599$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…06c2backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 2c | 7,084$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…8eb2backed Yes | 1c | 6,954$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 2c | 6,683$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…13e2backed Yes | 1c | 6,549$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…fcfbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,944$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…08b3backed Yes | 2c | 5,862$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…4f11backed Yes | 1c | 5,833$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 2c | 5,817$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Yes | 0c | 5,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Yes | 6c | 5,471$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 1c | 5,378$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…f3cebacked Yes | 2c | 5,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 2c | 5,201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,805$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…4b17backed Yes | 3c | 4,790$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…d06dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,778$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046d…63aebacked Yes | 3c | 4,754$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,752$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…41afbacked Yes | 3c | 4,742$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…cc34backed Yes | 3c | 4,724$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…27e9backed Yes | 3c | 4,724$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0228…5b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,703$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…5c0bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,696$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…53d2backed Yes | 3c | 4,695$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…b298backed Yes | 3c | 4,640$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…7c9ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,614$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…ba6bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,605$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…421dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,582$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.