TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8a0…e5cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$9.36
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$9.4
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$12.34
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.82
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.21
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$7.7
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$6.78
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.1
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.98
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.6
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$12.5
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$6.78
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.6
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$4.69
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.98
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$28.53
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+156.4%+$33.55
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$12
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.77
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+54.2%+$13.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.68
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$27.28
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.79
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.49
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.