La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6578f79b3e2387f9f0371ed068e0a3126eef1c8912769829ec0ad0e54876b072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 13,335$6,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 6,802$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.08 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 5,999$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 48c | 5,902$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.19 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 49c | 5,283$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Under | 52c | 3,385$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 2,309$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.41 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,132$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.46 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 999.96$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 49c | 998$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.98 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 518$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 77c | 502$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 435.09$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 376.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 54c | 373.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 334.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 293.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 218.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 22c | 217.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 78c | 217.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 181.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6525…c12cbacked Over | 49c | 130.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 52c | 123.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 112.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 53c | 105.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 58c | 73.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 53c | 58.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 47.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 45.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8faf…2575backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…7682backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 33c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Over | 58c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 55c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c8b4backed Over | 49c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 49c | 23.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…f854backed Over | 49c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.