La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1259104b8a4cc993f9838b63ca6c061da71fb21846bd7d0dbdc1e86a3de7f2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 8,452$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 67c | 3,583$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.41 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 74c | 3,493$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1032backed Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 896.15$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 893.87$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 26c | 868.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 672.55$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 74c | 283.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…da1bbacked Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 61.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 25c | 59.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 41.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 40.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 75c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…db59backed Over | 75c | 25.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.