La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bdf661e92dc9112c1afec6a97cfbf1a6dd434c42a70877da71ea53a6bd0be85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,893$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 51c | 2,970$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.9 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 49c | 1,103$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 935.93$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.54 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 789$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.61 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 47c | 508.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.24 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed No | 8c | 470.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 365.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 308.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 48c | 289.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 270.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 235.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 51c | 173$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Yes | 46c | 129.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 51c | 126.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed No | 50c | 99.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 89.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…23dbbacked No | 54c | 79.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 71.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 49c | 69.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 55c | 67.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…94b2backed Yes | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…4ee0backed No | 61c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 51.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 61c | 48.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…457bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 50c | 44.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 50c | 43.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 50c | 35.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed No | 54c | 29.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…8973backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 55c | 21.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.