La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891674f45de6ebc60b69a03f8ed7c81d4dc8a9346b75d292fc332f9fe6944458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fd9…f7cbbacked Under | 74c | 12,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…c7edbacked Over | 26c | 11,990$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 74c | 2,787$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,813$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,763$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 44c | 1,280$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 29c | 1,156$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.54 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 57c | 874.01$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.09 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…452abacked Over | 73c | 824.4$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 63c | 788.86$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 692.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 57c | 530.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 51c | 519.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 426.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 10c | 399.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 27c | 365$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 43c | 355.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 241.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 47c | 225.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 210.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 204.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 199.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Under | 51c | 190.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 67c | 189.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 38c | 177.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 57c | 176.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 176.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 44c | 155.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 142.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…842ebacked Over | 45c | 142.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 74c | 134.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 130.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 57c | 102.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Over | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Under | 65c | 93.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 42c | 74.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 67.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 75c | 45.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Under | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 38c | 38.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 41c | 36.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 46c | 28.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 57c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 24.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…bfcebacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 70c | 19.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 73c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.