TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9b4…7ef9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5745.6%26 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.07
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+571.5%+$280.31
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$53.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$40.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$28.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64%+$9.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$17.07
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.1
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$39.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+68.1%+$27.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+77.4%+$41.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67%+$25.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$15.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$12.83
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$43.49
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+73%+$21.91
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+86.5%+$55.2
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.1%+$16.28
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+80.7%+$47.14
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$46.42
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$15.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+105.3%+$37.93
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$25.03
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.15
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.53
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.86
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.98
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+67.6%+$37.88
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+97.6%+$39.38
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.2%+$20.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$12.04
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.37
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82%+$25
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70.5%+$21.14
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+71.5%+$15.72
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+59.9%+$17.59
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.2%+$52.08
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.6%+$17.2
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.37
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+285.6%+$57.13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.83
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.82
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100.2%+$68.12
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+118%+$27.13
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+77%+$17.72
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.89
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.67
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+76.5%+$22.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+556.8%+$194.87
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$18.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.