Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc4b0684d03462995b529a44db66cd501e54c1b24a9a9cb855b3ce99e480ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 40,691$26,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,829.61 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 21,313$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.67 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 30c | 5,479$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.28 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 4,933$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 3,640$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.38 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 3,051$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.17 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 2,273$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.52 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 29c | 1,508$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 852.02$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 802.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 53c | 707.26$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 643$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 27c | 594.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 579.14$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 43c | 528.93$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 379.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 21c | 370.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 33c | 339.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 62c | 328.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 69c | 303.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 37c | 286.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 268.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 234.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 26c | 218$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 70c | 159$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 66c | 154.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 34c | 123$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 59c | 107.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 104.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 41c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…ffa5backed Yes | 62c | 92.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Yes | 75c | 92.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 74c | 75.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 73.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed No | 37c | 68.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…a53dbacked Yes | 73c | 61.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…18e8backed Yes | 60c | 58.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 39c | 45.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…c1b1backed No | 37c | 39.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked Yes | 64c | 37.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…fbcbbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f3cfbacked Yes | 60c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Yes | 60c | 19.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.