TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6768…692d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$112.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138.68
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$93.84
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$178.15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$141.67
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$64.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$204.65
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.3
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.42
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$196.8
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$57.66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$124.19
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT6952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$147
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+301.4%+$135.65
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$158.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$89.51
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$158.38
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.98
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79.19
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$118.79
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$78.26
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$124.74
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$59.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$180.25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$152.94
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$133.81
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,500
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$213.16
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$50.76
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.7%+$33.57
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+43.3%+$194.76
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$133.51
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$251.63
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$23.55
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.57
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Austin FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$26.71
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$38.43
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$28.99
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.08
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$353.8
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.92
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$236.52
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.5%+$17.31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+142.7%+$450.57
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$252.92
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+156.1%+$721.26
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60.31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+147.1%+$1,655.26
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,656.55
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25.2%+$129.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-80.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+80%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+125.8%+$100.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+67.6%+$50.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+43.7%+$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.