TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,367 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over41c121,406$49,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,752.321526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d88…3effbacked Over1c18,774$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c10,136$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.9458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c9,176$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.791,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c7,028$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.21,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under60c6,613$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.053641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,673$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2695552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under59c5,227$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.926047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over1c5,136$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3628543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over56c4,756$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…4debbacked Over1c4,249$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over41c4,000$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.9910742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under60c2,973$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.125550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over38c2,445$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.135927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over41c2,445$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c2,300$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.2334342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over47c2,113$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.985745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over42c1,997$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.922540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under46c1,957$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.552828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2215252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over40c1,670$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6685248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over52c1,560$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.181822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under61c1,499$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.73050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over41c1,343$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.213625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over37c1,342$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over8c1,192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.396741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over2c1,110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over46c1,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.834544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over2c866.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.336844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over36c854.82$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.81911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.671376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over49c808.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over4c803.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9220643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under71c759.23$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.371656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under42c714.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.173253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Under58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8973…c6debacked Over41c667.19$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under67c619.95$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24013349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over35c549.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8842…1fbdbacked Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.831233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under62c479$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.022147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under61c448.73$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.785438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over37c417.59$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.514139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over42c382.37$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.339841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under57c350.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5919755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bba…bea3backed Under60c349.3$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c348.72$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1363917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…c5c9backed Over41c346.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over41c317.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over59c296.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0517466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under57c279$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.354637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Under59c253.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.132755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over41c251.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Under60c243.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.461369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick36cpaid+84.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Under75c242.73$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over37c236.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c232.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under61c222.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.83844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c218.33$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.888253.7%44 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce2…34bdbacked Over43c213.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under55c213$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.926250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under49c204.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.471936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Over52c190.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.750%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Under59c190$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3d…de22backed Under71c186.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over43c183.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.121145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Under61c183.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.61366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over40c183.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.399948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.78953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over30c174.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6521460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over63c173.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…1f0cbacked Under58c170.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099b…217dbacked Over42c169.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3a…0979backed Under58c166.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcff3…ec1cbacked Over43c164$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c162.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8512556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c160.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2340350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2558…d355backed Over44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over9c158.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e41…49f4backed Over42c156$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over40c154.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.910543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over37c154.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9725735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Over7c154.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…2b5dbacked Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.941464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.