Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b0125389449aab3957750051852d0c234abf94cae8d961183c457627c6f41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpool FCof Galatasaray SK, Liverpool FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Galatasaray SK | 8c | 3,632$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Galatasaray SK | 14c | 2,569$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Galatasaray SK | 21c | 1,512$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Galatasaray SK | 16c | 1,178$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Liverpool FC | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Galatasaray SK | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Galatasaray SK | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Galatasaray SK | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galatasaray SK | 8c | 606.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Galatasaray SK | 20c | 253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Galatasaray SK | 8c | 250.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…0afabacked Galatasaray SK | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Galatasaray SK | 9c | 223.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Galatasaray SK | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Galatasaray SK | 19c | 211$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Galatasaray SK | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Galatasaray SK | 8c | 154.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Galatasaray SK | 9c | 135.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Galatasaray SK | 21c | 121.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Galatasaray SK | 10c | 118.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Galatasaray SK | 21c | 105.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Galatasaray SK | 15c | 91.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galatasaray SK | 17c | 90.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Galatasaray SK | 18c | 63.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liverpool FC | 62c | 28.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Liverpool FC | 72c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.