TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,479 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c69,366$28,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,038.181,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over63c40,463$25,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,491.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa792…5353backed Over65c16,310$10,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,63920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c13,754$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,565.3659441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under36c10,467$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,736.6858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Under43c10,076$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c6,423$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.9526445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,812$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.85552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over60c4,851$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.481163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Over36c4,322$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9213548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c3,482$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.531,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over66c3,332$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.893256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Over61c2,996$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over62c2,700$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.9410742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over73c2,500$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.910232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over59c2,415$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c2,413$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.0928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c2,337$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.2626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c2,058$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.542835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1807346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under39c1,985$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.143754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over63c1,796$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.485248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under58c1,721$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.714573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over63c1,593$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0063625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.972540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over49c1,483$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over63c1,456$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under41c1,436$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.244447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over74c1,400$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.999757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under25c1,310$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.0920042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Over57c1,308$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over59c1,208$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Over1c1,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over38c1,047$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.513050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over8c999.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under35c953.77$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.952955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…7fbfbacked Over63c953.33$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over60c916.67$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over59c887.65$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.884445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over59c843.03$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.397245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over60c839.98$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.993636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over48c834.12$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.595927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over63c823$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.0329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under40c816.83$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5715038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under58c804$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.982035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over63c794.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Over63c793.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over63c774$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.6413245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over66c763.41$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.372268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under41c718$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over63c683.82$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4303246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c635.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under38c616.83$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over80c580$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under36c562.64$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.389748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over42c533.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over75c525.15$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.691822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c512$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.323948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3157146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.998038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c499.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9960648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under38c493.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.118643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under43c454.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.443161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over31c439.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1378339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under35c439$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7440250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under50c426.32$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4f…03acbacked Over63c413.17$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed Over51c410.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over61c407.46$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.552665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over78c405.74$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.486355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over62c404.77$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+56.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.994835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0e…62f0backed Over59c399.97$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50d8…d896backed Over65c384.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over53c377.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.978067.5%54 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over54c370.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.967660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over57c362$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.984637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over55c359.63$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.331513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-74.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over64c344.23$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Under53c325.73$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.245050%25 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003574.3%26 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+57.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x8337…e6b9backed Under80c316.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over24c313.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.555438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Over61c308.02$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.492040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9210543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under39c299.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.983852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.