TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4287…666e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.51
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$142
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$104
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$29.51
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$162.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+146.9%+$145.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$202.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$120.24
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$50.73
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.51
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.