TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a9…c150backed Yes9c11,448$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c10,063$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5326119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes22c6,267$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c4,800$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c3,443$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.2114042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No78c3,266$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.823240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes9c2,791$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes23c2,483$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c2,465$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.6596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No78c2,268$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes25c2,000$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.26728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No75c1,999$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.84369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed No76c1,947$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.37450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,920$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes23c1,902$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.422138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c1,745$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes23c1,725$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes24c1,713$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ed…ddadbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes13c1,501$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.111136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes24c1,410$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.32536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes9c1,315$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c1,257$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4931849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c1,121$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5479…65ddbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ea…1c3fbacked Yes25c955.88$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes25c950$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.54330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes4c781.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.241471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes10c726.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753132.3%10 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No79c723.48$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.936456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes25c712$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17811536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes8c699.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes2c674.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c674.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…0caabacked Yes25c670.92$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4322…eadebacked No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.913070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes25c620.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.232045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes18c602.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5335944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes5c572.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.276030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes18c552.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.411050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes18c535.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c534.62$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No76c500$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6444156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No75c485.4$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.352060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf3…1f60backed Yes25c477.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes4c474$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.966136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No76c450.01$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0110863.9%69 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Yes22c444.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd3…bb83backed Yes11c438.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes23c432.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No76c430.87$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.375345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c427.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes20c422$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.437446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes14c408.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No76c406.84$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.553836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x748d…26e2backed No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes9c393.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9815…bfe3backed Yes12c383.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Yes25c378.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes23c378$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.941618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c4…1649backed Yes23c374.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc00…bf3fbacked Yes14c371.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes5c359.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes10c345.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c9…6410backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c310$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.38117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes25c308$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd26…77fcbacked Yes14c292.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ed…67c2backed Yes25c292$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+183.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c290.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.475947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…17a9backed Yes10c290.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes19c284.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.24537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Yes9c276.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No79c275.09$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.593271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad93…6bd3backed Yes25c273.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c268.71$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.89056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c246.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.227135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc415…afc8backed Yes20c245.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x311e…b7a9backed Yes25c242.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes26c238.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.