TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x42ff…6ece

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.84
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.83
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.28
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)backed CA Vélez Sarsfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$142.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$1,775.04
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.52
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,432.56
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+196.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,249.49
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$297.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,372.45
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.53
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.