Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9867d60c3e6322e7923e6e800214fb814fe26ebcd15bdfac9ef3526d49d1d184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked No | 58c | 42,749$24,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,137.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 22,022$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.25 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed No | 58c | 10,131$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed Yes | 42c | 10,131$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 9,851$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.74 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 9,354$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.19 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 35c | 8,085$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.85 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 42c | 6,830$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Yes | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 57c | 4,155$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.78 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 60c | 3,017$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.94 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 2,846$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.18 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 2,735$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.48 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 58c | 2,299$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.15 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 43c | 1,694$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…8206backed Yes | 43c | 1,620$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 66c | 1,476$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 42c | 1,339$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Yes | 43c | 1,336$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 1,333$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.79 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 34c | 1,271$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes | 5c | 1,228$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 1,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Yes | 40c | 985.66$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 34c | 933.73$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.47 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 41c | 931.94$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.87 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 713.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 699.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 57c | 684.76$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 588.71$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 577.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Yes | 43c | 563.49$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 42c | 498.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 61c | 457.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 8c | 407.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 41c | 403.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 348$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 319.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 36c | 299.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 282$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Yes | 8c | 247.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 243.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 6c | 222.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 203.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 44c | 198.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 180.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 158.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 152.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 40c | 125.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 40c | 120.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 119.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 101.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 40c | 76.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 55c | 58.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 43c | 55.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Yes | 40c | 47.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 63c | 39.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 38.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 37c | 37.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 53c | 37.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 67c | 37.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…e9d1backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 80c | 33.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 57c | 33.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…267abacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed No | 61c | 27.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 27.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed No | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 66c | 24.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 44c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.