Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ca11ce20e0fd99c5296a464a7d03d8bfa1b683ab88624113e7fe7d5f1aa911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 61c | 52,228$31,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,828.56 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 9,692$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 9,074$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.06 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 8,875$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.36 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 39c | 8,085$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,953.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 39c | 5,876$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.13 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 36c | 2,700$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 64c | 2,087$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.55 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked No | 62c | 2,011$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 1,969$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.25 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 1,532$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.22 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,114$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,057$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 973$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 63c | 954.78$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.51 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 77c | 901.2$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 813.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.17 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 505.44$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 65c | 499.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.04 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 490.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 39c | 471.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 6c | 453.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 40c | 412.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 407.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 62c | 375.68$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 356.66$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 23c | 348.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 318.79$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 50c | 304.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…c17dbacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 36c | 293.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 36c | 270.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 70c | 268$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 265.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 263.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 67c | 252.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 245$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 240$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 238.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 202$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 184.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 17c | 153.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 152$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 149.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 25c | 141.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 39c | 136.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 32c | 123.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 22c | 103.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 39c | 94.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 39c | 90.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 39c | 87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 85.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 65c | 79.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 40c | 78.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 39c | 72.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 58c | 70.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 80c | 66.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 58c | 66.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked No | 22c | 65.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 67c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 21c | 60.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 39c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 33c | 59.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 50c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 58c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 39c | 50.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…193dbacked Yes | 39c | 45.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 44.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 28c | 42.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 42.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 39c | 38.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Yes | 39c | 35.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed No | 61c | 33.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 38c | 31.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 39c | 31.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Yes | 38c | 30.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 29.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 39c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.