Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09c491161b8aee68560b6b18a209f1565337904f4b56c387a7ec3e902ad0390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,103$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.64 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,522$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 741.73$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes | 14c | 693.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 631.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 65c | 622.52$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 33c | 589.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 59c | 504.16$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 349.47$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 15c | 299.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 285.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 9c | 251.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 24c | 173.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 29c | 148.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 32c | 105.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 63c | 77.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 77.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 65.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 34c | 62.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 34c | 58.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 50.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 65c | 38.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 49c | 30.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 28.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 28.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 68c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 65c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.