Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2088853ed0f64c8a45f70d49f410bf018f64c2a3d3e8f293d583f18b00c76b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 2,665$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.84 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 1,065$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 35c | 716.27$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 657.88$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…15b4backed No | 9c | 430.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 417.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 374.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 359.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes | 51c | 295.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 220.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 29c | 210$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 42c | 192.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 28c | 184.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 141.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 8c | 134.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 12c | 132.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 32c | 128.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 64c | 126.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 22c | 124.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 120.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 29c | 116.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 33c | 113.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 105.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 103.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 36c | 100.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 96.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 78.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 30c | 72.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 76c | 65.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 63.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 32c | 63.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 46c | 53.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…ef89backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 41.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 30.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 26.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.