Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81dfe062e9c5522e7f5512263b67d341b2e9856beb36c007a5559a02b5e147c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,240$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 11c | 224.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 65c | 218.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 37c | 214.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 35c | 211.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…33e3backed Yes | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 34c | 169.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 65c | 154.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 142.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 35c | 125.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 35c | 99.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 98.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 26c | 97.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 26c | 83.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 36c | 64.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 56.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 52.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 72c | 36.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 34.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 25.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 19.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.