TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe002…33e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.17
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$32.43
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.18
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.97
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$24.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.21
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.65
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.28
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$305.56
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$51.71
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$196.21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.11
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.1
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.13
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.81
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.71
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$88.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$13.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$25.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.9%+$88.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.9%+$10.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65%+$18.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$17.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41%+$37.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$31.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$82.8
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.68
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$28.27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.8%+$4.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.9%+$72.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.