TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes12c15,321$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,442.8329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No45c12,866$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.551747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes39c12,855$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,855.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No61c9,784$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,968.0514346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes39c5,442$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c5,200$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.91,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c5,067$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c3,906$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.0322745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes12c2,110$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.32138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Yes72c1,370$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.794544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes78c1,161$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Yes11c1,102$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.781850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7405…478cbacked Yes35c1,049$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes12c1,043$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes11c1,001$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.9412957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Yes13c856.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+641.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d32…f958backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes46c817.68$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Yes11c800$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes11c681.82$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.82520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No54c604.91$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.510938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes77c578.56$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No50c555.27$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.325829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked Yes11c496.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+152.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes12c471.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7426046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.557231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes11c433.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.963148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes66c412.61$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1115071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No25c322.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c319.56$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9713250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes12c206$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.289156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ba9…7450backed Yes68c192.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c180.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.743847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No44c162.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes31c161.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.69650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c156.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c152$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No28c147.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.32050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4415951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c132.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2517817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick20cpaid+308.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes71c117.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes13c115.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.382429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd831…41d0backed Yes49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed No56c101.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc2…7374backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Yes54c90.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No40c82.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.993560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No50c79.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed No59c78.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes78c76.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked No63c75.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes38c73.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.417343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b6…10e0backed Yes69c72.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.368644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked No66c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed No30c50.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No74c48.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.935042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes79c48.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c48.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes42c47.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes24c47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.86943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No77c46.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.623268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed No67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes68c44.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817f…4a58backed Yes34c43.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed No63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Yes59c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c4…eb56backed Yes54c39.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No62c37.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.075560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes43c36.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No63c36.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.044348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed No77c36.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe002…33e3backed No59c35.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc25d…4b7dbacked No34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed No67c34.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c33.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes49c32.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f6…98e4backed Yes39c30.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fa…d6ccbacked Yes43c25.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+81.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes60c25.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No60c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee1…656dbacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7618155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a63…fe88backed No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.236759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd09…95a3backed Yes69c18.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes79c16.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.