TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71c4…eb56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$7.34
Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$17.09
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.11
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$15.25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$21.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$6.4
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$13.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$10.83
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$10.65
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$12.41
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$12.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$11.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$18.91
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$18.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$7.53
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$15.45
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.08
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.22
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$16.44
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+74%+$16.06
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58%+$14.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66%+$14.34
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+48%+$12.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.12
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35%+$7.9
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$16.15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$18.62
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$11.76
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35%+$8.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$9.81
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$19.57
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$10.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50%+$12.16
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$14.4
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$12.07
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+303.3%+$84.55
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.05
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$12.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.36
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.66
Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.3%+$11.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$95 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.