TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No18c23,651$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c10,063$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,346.7988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No48c7,398$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.787044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c7,336$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes26c7,100$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes26c3,470$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.717750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes26c2,700$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9982040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8505242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes26c2,115$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.382339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4809753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c1,600$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.9355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c1,439$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes28c1,375$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9516753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c1,375$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No66c1,362$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.0157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes26c1,200$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8881540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No75c1,129$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4303732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+97.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c706.67$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No51c690.44$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0315030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes72c618.76$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2522644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c600.74$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.211,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No75c594.67$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4461573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c575.76$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes33c548.07$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.362825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c539.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes71c510.45$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0212045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed No72c508.85$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes37c434.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c426.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c399.92$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9414654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No51c369$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.24223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09db…93f9backed Yes27c365.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c329.96$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes31c315.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0129250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No33c301.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.488040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes65c283.14$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1418748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes42c248.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.714259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.610232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No58c206.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.647050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Yes56c204$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c203.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4415249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c200$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14910233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c199.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9911850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes76c197$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9718842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes26c192$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.081127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes26c187.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed No75c184.8$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c168.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes26c168$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.322626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes29c167.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.693531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No26c152.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3212531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes42c147.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes31c147$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No72c145.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No74c130.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2622746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes25c130$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.56100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+109%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes51c128.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.517736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.048959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c114.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No62c112.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes26c110.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+131.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No74c101.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.314354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c99.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9815738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes32c93.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.886338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes56c91.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes29c88.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.733447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No75c87.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.852860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes53c86.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4511915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No61c84.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.687129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No59c80.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2636545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked No62c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes55c79.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6127051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No74c77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.984463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.925251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.925641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c75.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.431,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.