TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8788…d82a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+95%+$59.91
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.17
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.71
Roehampton 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$140.64
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$224.93
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$373.63
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.64
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Kingston 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Max Purcellbacked Max Purcell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.96
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Julie Struplovabacked Julie Struplova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.74
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.94
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112.87
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$59.57
Quebec City: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Baxbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.3
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Kingston: Dan Martin vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.07
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.47
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$92.45
Brownsburg: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.13
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.94
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+93.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.19
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.96
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.4
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$143.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.